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New Delhi, May 12: The Indian rupee fell to an all-time low of 95.50 against the US dollar during Tuesday’s opening trade, pressured by rising crude oil prices and a stronger dollar amid renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Market sentiment weakened after former US President Donald Trump stated that the Iran ceasefire agreement was “on life support,” triggering fears of further escalation in the region.
Global crude oil prices surged sharply after Trump’s remarks raised concerns over possible disruptions in oil supply routes. Investors fear that an extended conflict between Iran and the US could impact shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global oil transit route.
The rising crude prices have added pressure on oil-importing nations like India, increasing demand for dollars and weakening the rupee further.
The US dollar index climbed back near the 98 mark as investors shifted towards safer assets amid uncertainty surrounding the geopolitical crisis. A stronger dollar globally also contributed to the rupee’s decline against the greenback.
Currency traders said heightened volatility in global markets and concerns over energy security are likely to keep emerging market currencies under pressure in the near term.
A weaker rupee may lead to higher import costs, especially for crude oil, electronics, and other essential commodities. This could increase inflationary pressure in India and impact fuel prices if the trend continues.
Analysts believe the Reserve Bank of India may closely monitor currency movements and intervene if volatility rises sharply.
Investors are now closely tracking developments related to the Iran-US situation, movement in crude oil prices, and signals from global central banks. Any escalation in tensions could continue to weigh on the rupee and broader financial markets.
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